If I Were To Play Deal or No Deal

The times they are a-changin’.

This post seems to be older than 13 years—a long time on the internet. It might be outdated.

…I would pick case #26. And then start eliminating the cases sequentially, starting with case #1.

Why? The money is distributed randomly to the cases. So pseudorandomly picking from a random set still provides a random set (right?).

[tags]Deal or No Deal, game theory[/tags]

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1 thought on “If I Were To Play Deal or No Deal”

  1. quinn

    Well as long as you’re right about the money being distributed randomly to the cases, then your strategy has the same expected value as any other.

    I would guess that it’s not totally random, i.e., they have a computer-generated configuration but if they pick a configuration they don’t like, they’ll throw it out and get a new one. They probably wouldn’t like having the same number get the $2 million on too many episodes, because it will make people think it’s rigged or whatever.

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