Your Odds of Dying From…

The times they are a-changin’.

This post seems to be older than 15 years—a long time on the internet. It might be outdated.

As seen in the March 2002 editition of WIRED

  • Smallpox: Zero
  • Catastrophic asteroid strike: 1 in 1,960,000,000
  • Odds you’ll win the Powerball jackpot: 1 in 80,089,128
  • Anthrax: 1 in 55,052,999
  • Pneumonic plague: 1 in 54,059,705
  • Venomous snakes, lizards, and spiders: 1 in 54,049,600
  • Falling after collision or shoving: 1 in 45,041,333
  • Odds your IQ is above Bobby Fisher’s (187): 1 in 36,927,646
  • Cleansers and paints: 1 in 27,024,800
  • Domestic hijacking: 1 in 16,817,784
  • Odds a coin tosed two dozen times will land heads up every time: 1 in 16,777,216
  • Salmonella: 1 in 10,587,115
  • Execution by US civil authorities: 1 in 3,622,270
  • Lightning strike: 1 in 3,106,880
  • Fleash-eating bacteria: 1 in 1,252,488
  • Airplane crash: 1 in 659,779
  • Odds you’ll get a royal flush in 5-card poker: 1 in 649,739
  • Railway accident: 1 in 524,753
  • Poison gases or vapors: 1 in 494,960
  • Electrical current: 1 in 493,153
  • Falling object: 1 in 373,787
  • Bad medical care: 1 in 83,720
  • Residential fire: 1 in 83,025
  • Odds you’ll get a new identity under the witness protection program: 1 in 20,000
  • Gun shot: 1 in 8,802
  • Odds you’ll have triplets without using fertillity drugs: 1 in 8,100
  • Motor vehicle accident: 1 in 6,585
  • Flu and pneumonia: 1 in 4,107
  • Diabetes: 1 in 4,009
  • Odds you’ll be bumped from your next flight: 1 in 4,000
  • Unintentional injuries: 1 in 2,941
  • Chronic respiratory disease (e.g., asthma): 1 in 2,228
  • Stroke: 1 in 1,658
  • Odds you’ll injure yourself playing golf: 1 in 600
  • Cancer: 1 in 499
  • Heart disease: 1 in 388
  • Odds your next meal is from McDonald’s: 1 in 8

Statistics are based on the most current data availible from the following sources: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; Danger Ahead, by Larry Laudan; Heritage Foundation; IQ comparison tables; Rodrigo de la Jara; National Safety Council US Statstical Abstract; True Odds, by James Walsh.

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2 thoughts on “Your Odds of Dying From…”

  1. Pingback: Andrew Ferguson dot NET » Blog Archive » Told You So

  2. “Smallpox: Zero”

    This is wrong.

    “cultures of the virus are kept by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) in the United States and at the Institute of Virus Preparations in Siberia, Russia.”
    from wikipedia

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